New Year, New Rates? Market Brief February 28 2024

Given the choice between more time or more money, which would you pick? This question is not just a thought experiment but a reflection of the trade-offs we make daily in our pursuit of happiness and success. How you answer can significantly impact your saving, spending, and goal setting.

Research shows that our sense of happiness and fulfillment is directly linked to how we spend our time and money. When we prioritize time over money, we may find more joy and satisfaction in our lives but may have less financial security. On the other hand, prioritizing money may leave us feeling unfulfilled and stressed.

new year new rates

Since 2024 is a leap year, you’ll have an additional day. Why not spend some time on that day considering one practical action to optimize your resources?

Onward to rates… Interest rates affect us all. Whether you’re seeking the highest rate for your savings or the lowest for your mortgage or credit cards, knowing how to manage this aspect of your finances is increasingly important in an ever-changing environment.

Though most forecasters expect the Fed to cut a benchmark short-term interest rate soon, rumors of “higher for longer” rates persist. And although we can’t predict the future, we can prepare for it. Are you ready for when this change happens?

Understanding key financial concepts is important to maintaining not just your financial health but also your financial confidence and happiness. And interest rates are more than just numbers in the news; they’re the heartbeat of your financial wellness. More on the current interest rate environment in the Market Brief below.

Feel free to share if you know someone who could use guidance. As always, I’m available for any questions or ideas you have regarding financial strategy.

Market Brief – New Year New Rates

Another week is behind us in 2024, while stocks have seen more recovery highs and the major indices have seen more all-time highs. The week ending Feb 23 saw the S&P 500 rise 1.7%, the Nasdaq added 1.4%, and the Russell 2000 lost 0.9%. For the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices, last week was the 15th of 17 on the upside. During the 17 weeks, the S&P has gained 23.6%, and Nasdaq is up over 26%. Those are great returns for a full year!

In other news, Amazon.com replaced Walgreens Boots Alliance in the 30-stock Dow. New home sales in January 2024 rose 1.5% from December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 661,000 units. The median sales price was $420,700 and the average sales price was $534,300.

As for a recession, it is likely that the U.S. economy will avoid one into 2025. The Federal Reserve will likely start to lower interest rates later this year, and earnings growth is poised to accelerate over the next few quarters. There are fundamental risks to be sure, such as geopolitical developments (Russia, Mideast, China), high interest rates (the Fed hasn’t cut yet), the chance of recession (always a possibility), not to mention the upcoming 2024 U.S. presidential election.

The Fed’s next rate decisions come at the end of March and May. For March, odds of a rate cut are only about 4%, according to the CME Fed Watch. For May, odds go up to 26%. That’s also much lower than was the case over in last few weeks. Year-to-date the S&P is up 6.8%, Nasdaq up 7.9%, and Dow up 2.9% through intraday today.

Click here if you would like to learn more about your options and if we can assist you with your wealth management, investment, and retirement planning.

This website is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be specific advice or recommendations. For specific advice or recommendations you would need to meet directly with one of our advisers. This is not a solicitation or offer of service in states we are not licensed in.

Financial Advisor Erie CO focus on investment and wealth management, retirement planning; Boulder, Louisville, Niwot, Lafayette, Windsor, Berthoud, CO

Markets reach All-time Highs

all-time highs

Happy New Year, happy January, and welcome back to All-time highs! As we embark on this fresh chapter, consider this, it has been two years since we last reached this threshold. A lot has happened since then. In some areas of life, value is unlocked by starting, while in others, it’s found in the finish. What’s your focus for 2024 and beyond? Whether you need to kickstart new financial habits or follow through on existing plans, I’m here to help you navigate the journey.

Financial success often hinges on effective beginnings and successful completions. Starting on the right foot positions us for a year of financial achievements. This year let’s work together to initiate valuable habits like automatic savings, strategic budgeting, and a tailored financial strategy aligned with your long-term goals. If there’s anything left unfinished from 2023 – unsure what changes to make, coverage to put in place, accounts to contribute to, when to save, etc. – let’s tackle it head-on for a more financially fulfilling year ahead. Even minor adjustments to your financial strategy today can make a big difference over time.

The second Friday of every January is infamously known as “Quitter’s Day.” It’s the day on the calendar by which most people have already abandoned their freshly made resolutions. Hopefully you powered through and are still on track with your 2024 goals. Truthfully, it’s not hard to believe. As we’ve all experienced at one time or another, it’s easy to get discouraged with our goals, especially after the initial enthusiasm starts to fade. The secret to staying power is breaking down your long-term goals into smaller, more manageable milestones. What can you do today that will improve your situation by December?

As always, if you have questions any day of the year, reach out to me. Together, we can create an action plan tailored specifically to you. As the saying goes, winners are not people who never fail, they are people who never quit. Here’s to unlocking value and achieving financial success in 2024!

Market Brief – All-time Highs

This is a huge earnings week, with many big-name companies reporting. The week also features important inflation data, and talk about the Fed’s next rate move will heat up ahead of the rate meeting next week. The FOMC decision on January 31 is widely expected to result in unchanged interest rates, while future rate-cut expectations have become less optimistic. Last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 1%, the S&P 500 up 1.2%, and the Nasdaq up 1.6%.

Mortgage rates dropped slightly last week, to 6.6% for the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Gas prices fell a penny to $3.06 per gallon for the average price of regular gas. The Atlanta Fed GDP indicator is forecasting for 4Q and calls for expansion of 2.4%.

Stocks headed higher today with the S&P 500 on track to hit another all-time high. The stock market blasted off late last week, propelling the S&P 500 to an all-time high. It has been a long recovery (over two years) for the index, as its last All-time high was on January 3, 2022. The Nasdaq still has work to do to reach their all-time high from late 2021 and early 2022. Year-to-date, the DJIA is now up 1%, the S&P is up 1%, and the Nasdaq is up 1.6%.

Click here if you would like to learn more about your options and if we can assist you with your wealth management, investment, and retirement planning.

This website is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be specific advice or recommendations. For specific advice or recommendations you would need to meet directly with one of our advisers. This is not a solicitation or offer of service in states we are not licensed in.

Erie CO Financial Advisor; investments, wealth management, retirement income planning; Boulder, Broomfield, Louisville, Niwot, Windsor, Berthoud CO

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The Final Countdown, Make the Most of It!

There’s nothing like the pressure of a deadline to get people moving. Last week, the countdown began into the final 100 days of 2023. Stop wasting days and make the most of it.

This week let’s emphasize the importance of making the most of these remaining days. And with good reason: The pursuit of goals – and stretching toward new ones – is not just about accumulating wealth; it’s also about feeling a sense of fulfillment, purpose, and happiness. By setting clear objectives and holding fast to your ultimate long-term strategy – especially amid uncertain times like we’re facing now with a looming government shutdown, striking workers, and a high interest rate environment – it’s still possible to not only survive these ups and downs but thrive despite them. Ask me how.

Final Countdown

We review your position this fall and decide where to make progress before the holidays hit. Amidst the chaos of modern life and the confusing economic landscape, finding clarity and focus can be a game-changer for your financial well-being. The art of subtraction is a powerful tool that can help you navigate through the noise and concentrate on your core long-term goals.

In a world that often encourages accumulation and constant addition, the concept of subtracting may seem counterintuitive. The practice of distilling your aspirations down to their essence is liberating. We often find ourselves chasing after an extensive bucket list, constantly consumed by desires for more. I invite you to try creating a “chuck it list” – a collection of things, experiences, or even habits that you are willing to let go of to simplify your life.

We have developed a strategic financial plan that aligns with your values and aspirations. Helping you pursue the life you truly desire. When you feel overwhelmed by options, headlines, and other distractions, reach out. I can help you subtract the unnecessary and stay on track.

Have a great day, the Final Countdown (for 2023) is here, make the most of it!

Click here if you would like to learn more about your options and if we can assist you with your wealth management, investment, and retirement planning.

Financial Advisor Erie CO investments, wealth management, retirement planning in Boulder, Broomfield, Louisville, Niwot, Lafayette, Windsor, Berthoud, CO

#investing #marketbrief #stockmarket #retirement #wealthmanagement #financialadvisor #retirementplanning #investmentmanagement #retirementincomeplanning

This website is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be specific advice or recommendations. For specific advice or recommendations you would need to meet directly with one of our advisers. This is not a solicitation or offer of service in states we are not licensed in.

Corporate Earnings On Deck – Market Brief April 18, 2022

corporate earnings

Investors seek value as rising rates hurt growth stocks. U.S. equity performance was mixed in a shortened week as inflation and interest rates weighed on sentiment. Corporate earnings season accelerates, with Q1 reports due from companies in several key industry groups, including banks, trucking, airlines, metals, and technology. The Dow down 0.78%, S&P down 2.11%, and Nasdaq down 2.62%.

Last Week

The S&P 500 declined for a second straight week as the market offered little optimism to investors with climbing inflation and mixed Q2 earnings reports. Materials were the best performing sector in the S&P 500 during the week while Information Technology lagged. The yield on the ten-year treasury bill climbed to 2.83%, over 100 basis points higher than a year ago. This dampened growth stocks during the week. Oil spiked over $10/barrel over three days as peace talks between Russia and Ukraine stalled. Energy stocks beat the market last week. J.P. Morgan kicked off the 2Q22 corporate earnings season with quarterly profit that was 42% lower than a year ago.

In economic news last week, key data included Retail Sales, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment. Retail Sales rose 0.5% in March, slightly below the consensus forecast and down from the previous month. Sales at gas stations accounted for much of the increase, with an 8.9% rise from the prior month. Not surprising given the jump in oil prices. The Consumer Price Index rose 8.5%, its highest rate since 1981, up from 7.9% in February. The sharp increase reflected an 11% jump in energy prices. Some economists believe that recent high inflation may be the peak. However, the March data is far above the Fed’s long-term 2% target and moving in the wrong direction. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment rose to a better-than-expected 65.7 in April, up from 59.4 in February.

Week Ahead – Corporate Earnings

The stock market opens today with corporate earnings season ramping up. Banks and financial companies will lead off, including Bank of America and American Express, as well as many regional banks. Other companies reporting this week include IBM, Halliburton, Lockheed Martin, Johnson & Johnson, Tesla, Alcoa, Procter & Gamble, AT&T, Verizon, Netflix, American Airlines, and United Airlines. The wide range of reporting companies will help give economists a sense of how different sectors are weathering inflation, rising interest rates, and the impact of the war in Ukraine and economic sanctions on Russia.

Key economic data due this week include Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, and Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). For Housing Starts, economists expect March to be down from February. For Existing Home Sales, the consensus also calls for March to be down from a month earlier. While the housing market has been red-hot for many years, it has started to cool in recent months. Housing could face further pressure from aggressive Fed rate hikes. Economists see LEI coming in at 0.3% for March, in line with the February rate.

Year-to-date index performance; Dow down 5.2%, S&P down 7.8%, and Nasdaq down 14.7% through the close on Friday.

Click here if you would like to learn more about your options and if we can assist you with your wealth management, investment, and retirement planning.

Erie CO Financial Advisor; investments, wealth management, retirement income planning; Boulder, Broomfield, Louisville, Niwot, Windsor, Berthoud CO

This website is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be specific advice or recommendations. For specific advice or recommendations you would need to meet directly with one of our advisers.

Santa Rally & Make Merry This Season

Santa Rally

Santa Rally or not, we’ve been through a lot in 2021 – more quarantining, hybrid work environments, ups and downs in the economy, and political uncertainty. Chances are, you’ve been so busy adjusting to all the changes while also trying to hold onto family ties and traditions that you’ve had little time to relax and enjoy this special time of year. 

Well, now is your time. Take it. One of the most valuable things you can do in a busy season is to find moments of “me time.” Prioritizing wellness, including in your financial life, and taking time to set your strategy allows you to more generously show up for others and extend goodwill. I can help show you how. So, go ahead, start the timer. Carve out a few minutes for yourself today.

Last Week

Equities moved higher after risks that the Omicron COVID variant would slow down economic activity wanned. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes posted gains over 3%, and Dow was up 4.05% for the week, as volatility fell. The S&P hit a new all-time high on Friday. Every S&P 500 sector was positive. Crude oil jumped nearly 9% to climb back above $70 per barrel. Consumer prices rose 6.8% Year-over-Year and 0.8% Month-over-Month in November. This was the fastest annual pace since 1982, and in-line with expectations. Consumer sentiment rose to 70.4 in December, still lower than a year ago due to higher household inflation expectations.

On the labor front, resignations declined by 4.7% in October. Openings moved back up to 11.03M, up 4.1% Month-over-Month and just below the all-time high. Weekly jobless claims sank to a multi-decade low of 184K. Paychecks and hours worked grew in Q3, but productivity slumped 5.2%, worse than initial reports.

Week Ahead – Santa Rally or Coal to Wrap up 2021

The last full week before the holiday season begins. Will the Santa Rally continue, or finish the year with a lump of coal? This week features four central bank meetings and a host of economic releases. On Wednesday, the FOMC may reveal an accelerated tapering timeline. Markets are already pricing in better than 50% odds of a rate hike by May 2022. More inflation figures are reported with U.S. PPI on Tuesday, followed by CPI from the UK and Canada the next day.

This week also brings the first look at manufacturing and services PMIs for December in the U.S. and Eurozone. China’s monthly data dump will include annual figures for retail sales and industrial production. Other events of note include U.S. retail sales, regional manufacturing updates from New York and Philadelphia, and Australia’s employment account. The week closes with UK retail sales and Germany’s business sentiment information.

Year-to-date index performance; Dow up 17.53%, S&P up 25.45%, and Nasdaq up 21.28% through the close on Friday.

Happy holidays, see you next year!

Click here if you would like to learn more about your options and if we can assist you with your wealth management, investment, and retirement planning.

This website is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be specific advice or recommendations. For specific advice or recommendations you would need to meet directly with one of our advisers.